MLB Playoff picks: Best bets for ALDS Game 1s

Orioles ace Kyle Bradish, on the other hand, has been fantastic all season. The right-hander has given up just five hits and one earned run against the Rangers in 8.1 innings this season, and he hasn't given up a run in his last 14 innings pitched. 

Dane Dunning over 1.5 walks (+100 DK)

Dunning struggled with his command down the stretch of the regular season. Over his last eight starts, the right-hander recorded 20 walks for an average of 2.5 per game. Add in the pressure of his first career ALDS start and what should be a raucous crowd in Baltimore, and it wouldn't be a surprise if Dunning has trouble with his control. 

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins

Saturday, Oct. 7, 4:45 p.m. ET
Twins moneyline (+138 FD)

This Twins team has a chance to make a magical run in October. Minnesota has the pitching to anchor a postseason run, a smart manager in Rocco Baldelli and a rising superstar in Royce Lewis, who has all the makings of a playoff hero.

Whether the Twins roll with Joe Ryan or Bailey Ober in Game 1, they present some value as underdogs. Justin Verlander isn't who he used to be, and he has to face a Minnesota lineup that's averaging 6.4 runs per game with a .855 OPS over its last nine games. 

Carlos Correa over 0.5 hits (-160 DK)

I don't understand this line at all.

Carlos Correa is batting .417 against Verlander in 15 career plate appearances. The Twins shortstop went 3-7 in the wild-card series against the Toronto Blue Jays. He's also hit safely in six of his last seven playoff starts. This price should be over -200, so we'll take the discount on -160.