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Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction, pick for 6/15
Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Yardbarker Quick Pick

We're liking runs scored in this afternoon affair, which will wrap up a four-game series this week between the two. Aaron Nola and Ryne Nelson have both had their fair share of sloppy starts this season, each sporting an ERA north of 4.60. Two of three games this week have exceeded today's total, so roll with over nine runs here. — Griffin Carroll, Yardbarker

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Thursday, 3:40 p.m. ET
Philadelphia Phillies: -1 (-106) runline, -125 moneyline, over 9 (-105)
@ Arizona Diamondbacks: +1 (-114) runline, +120 moneyline, under 9 (+100)
(Current odds at time of publication)

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D-backs get another shot at Phillies after late meltdown

The Arizona Diamondbacks should be eager to get back on their home field on Thursday afternoon as they aim for a split of their four-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks felt as if they gave a victory away on Wednesday night when second baseman Geraldo Perdomo and right fielder Jake McCarthy collided on a shallow fly ball in the 10th inning, a play that set up the Phillies to plate an unearned run and hold on for a 4-3 victory.

"We're going to learn from it," Arizona manager Torey Lovullo said after the game. "I know it's a very frustrated room right now because I think we let one slip away after coming back (from a 3-0 deficit), but we're going to find a way to make that play next time and be better off because of what we went through."

The Diamondbacks will be up against a Philadelphia offense that has been in rhythm in recent games behind J.T. Realmuto. The hot-hitting catcher is 7-for-12 in the series with two doubles, two triples, two homers, six RBIs and seven runs.

The Phillies have won nine of 11, and they have been especially hot the past four games, averaging 8.5 runs in that span.

"I feel like we're coming into our stride," Realmuto said. "This is the offense that we envisioned when this team was put together."

The Phillies plan to give the ball to veteran right-hander Aaron Nola in the series finale, hoping their ace can improve on his most recent outing.

Nola (5-5, 4.60 ERA) gave up a season-high six runs in a 9-0 loss to the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday, allowing a home run for the 10th straight start. He lasted 6 1/3 innings while surrendering seven hits.

After carrying a no-hitter into the seventh inning on June 5 against the Detroit Tigers, Nola retired the first eight batters against the Dodgers before giving up a two-out double in the third, and his night unraveled from there.

"I thought he was better than his line," Phillies manager Rob Thomson said of Nola. "Just kind of fell apart."

Nola is 1-2 with an 8.41 ERA in four career starts against Arizona.

The Diamondbacks will counter with Ryne Nelson, who is coming off an effective outing in Detroit on Saturday, when he threw 5 2/3 shutout innings.

Nelson (3-3, 4.95 ERA) allowed four hits, struck out four and walked two in Arizona's 5-0 win. Afterward, he expressed how important it was for him to keep hitters honest with his off-speed pitches.

"There's been some outings where guys just look for the fastball, and they know they're going to get it at some point," he said. "So being able to keep them off-balance, show breaking stuff early was definitely key to getting some more outs (on Saturday)."

Nelson faced the Phillies for the first and only time in his career on May 23 and limited them to one run and three hits in six innings. He left with a 3-1 lead but did not receive the decision in the Diamondbacks' eventual 4-3 victory.

This article first appeared on Field Level Media and was syndicated with permission.

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