New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr. Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 3 betting trends: Time for 0-2 teams to get right, or else

By Jack Dougherty | Last updated 9/21/23

If Week 2 is overreaction week in the NFL, Week 3 should be known as get-right week. It's virtually the last chance for 0-2 teams to save their season, as an 0-3 start makes it nearly impossible for teams to rebound and make a playoff run.

Week 3 is also a get-right week for teams that started the season 0-2 against the spread. These teams get downgraded in the market after Week 2 and consistently show value in Week 3. Don't believe me? Let's check the trends.

According to John Ewing of BetMGM, teams that start 0-2 ATS are 83-66-1 (56 percent) against the spread dating back to 2005. Here are the teams that fit the mold this week:

New York Giants +10 at San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints +2 at Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Chargers +1 at Minnesota Vikings
Houston Texans +8.5 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Denver Broncos +6.5 at Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots -2.5 at New York Jets
Carolina Panthers +6.5 at Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears +12.5 at Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals -3 vs. Los Angeles Rams

What about teams that have exceeded expectations through two weeks? Well, there's a similar trend with that group, too. According to Ewing, teams that start the season 2-0 ATS are 38-49-3 (44 percent) against the spread in Week 3. Those teams are as follows:

Green Bay Packers -2 vs. New Orleans Saints
Miami Dolphins -6.5 vs. Denver Broncos
Baltimore Ravens -7.5 vs. Indianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys -12.5 at Arizona Cardinals

If you noticed, there are two games that qualify for both profitable trends. The Saints (0-2 ATS) are two-point underdogs against the Packers (2-0 ATS), and the Broncos (0-2 ATS) are +6.5 against the Dolphins (2-0 ATS). If you blindly trust the trends, the Saints and Broncos are two underdogs you should be targeting in Week 3.

Check out Yardbarker's betting hub for more previews, predictions, news and analysis.

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