NFL Week 9 'MNF' touchdown bets: Both defenses have a weakness

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Given the relative randomness of the TD prop market, we recommend limiting your unit size on these wagers. Both bets below are best set as half-unit risks.

Garrett Wilson (+200 FanDuel)

We've covered Garrett Wilson extensively up to this point. We love his yards this evening if you want to load that up as well. As it relates to the touchdown market, this feels like a tremendous time for the Jets wide receiver to score his third touchdown of the year.

Yes, Wilson has scored just twice, and he's gone five games without a score. Oh, how that can change tonight. The Chargers are allowing the third-most touchdowns per game to wide receivers, the cherry on top of what is one of the league's worst secondaries.

Wilson has 68 targets this year, with Allen Lazard the next closest WR at 29. Wilson's 12 red zone looks easily top the team, and it's paydirt time for New York's WR1.

Donald Parham Jr. (+425 Fanatics, +420 FD next best)

On the flip side, there may be some value for the Chargers tight ends. The Jets have allowed the most tight end touchdowns per game this season, and in fact, they've allowed more touchdowns to TEs than any other position.

Both Donald Parham Jr. and Gerald Everett are involved in the passing game from the tight end slot, but it's Parham who has more red zone targets at seven. 36.8% of his targets have been in the red zone, making his role seem quite clear.

With Joshua Palmer joining Mike Williams on the shelf, Justin Herbert may need to turn to his tight ends even more often in this one. At this price, it's worth a sprinkle.