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Sunday Six-Pack: Week 12 NFL betting guide
Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22). Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Sunday Six-Pack: Week 12 NFL betting guide

We hope you all had a great Thanksgiving, full of food, family and football. We're here to wrap the week together with another fresh six-pack of picks for the NFL Sunday slate.

Last week we went 4-2 once again, moving our season record to 33-27. Let's build on that and have us a fantastic Week 12 here.

Ride the hot hand: Houston +1.5 (-110 DK)

We are very pro-Houston at the moment. The Texans, led by rookie C.J. Stroud, have launched onto the scene as one of the league's hottest teams, and with first place in the AFC South up for grabs, we prefer backing the home 'dogs in Houston.

The Texans have won 10 of the past 11 meetings against the Jaguars, including a game earlier this year before they really hit their stride. Back Houston here.

Rack 'em up: Demario Douglas over 4.5 receptions (+115 BetMGM)

Demario Douglas has solidified his role as the Patriots top wide receiver, seeing 7+ targets in three straight games, going for 5+ receptions in every game.

He's facing a Giants team that has allowed the sixth-most receptions per game to WRs, Douglas should have every chance to keep it rolling.

It's an every week thing: Derrick Henry TD (+110 DK)

You have to be betting running backs against the Panthers. If you haven't been, please join the party now. No team allows more touchdowns per game to running backs than Carolina, and in comes a top RB in Derrick Henry to take advantage.

Henry has scored four times this season and leads Tennessee in red zone volume, he should have plenty of chances to get going.

Great teams cover: Philadelphia -3 (-110 DK)

No team is better ATS than Philadelphia this year at 6-2-2. Buffalo is dealing with some serious secondary issues, which should make for a tough assignment against these Eagles WRs. Expect AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith to have some big games as the Eagles' strong interior pass rush takes advantage of some average iOL play from Buffalo.

We'll back the Eagles at home rocking their kelly green to take this one comfortably.

Run game might be the way: Isiah Pacheco over 68.5 rushing yards (-113 FanDuel)

Over the past two weeks, Isiah Pacheco has taken 16 and 19 carries, and he's looked darn good doing it.

That workload should pay off here against a Raiders defense that allows the sixth-most rushing yards per game and the fourth-most rush yards per attempt. Pacheco is set for a big Sunday here.

Chargers refuse to slow down QBs: Lamar Jackson over 228.5 passing yards (-115 BetMGM)

No team allows more explosive plays or more passing yards per game than the Los Angeles Chargers, so you best believe we need to target that type of vulnerability.

Lamar Jackson may be only over this line in four games this season, but the opponent dictates we take his over here. Every single QB to see the Chargers this year has gone over their passing yards prop over. Let's keep that streak alive.


Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use. 



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