New England's Rhamondre Stevenson. Kris Craig / USA TODAY NETWORK

Three NFL Week 12 touchdown bets: Let's keep things rolling

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 11/24/23

We have been on an absolute tear in the touchdown market of late, nailing most of our Thanksgiving looks. I'm ready to keep that rolling here with some chalky picks for the Sunday slate.

Rhamondre Stevenson (+155 PointsBet)

New England's Rhamondre Stevenson has a plus-matchup here against a horrible Giants defense. New York has allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game and the second-most rushing touchdowns per game.

Stevenson is the top back on New England, seeing 40 more carries and seven more red zone looks than Ezekiel Elliott. Stevenson has turned that volume into three touchdowns, it's time for a fourth.

Kyren Williams (+110 Caesars)

Kyren Williams is back as the starting running back for the Los Angeles Rams and not a moment too soon. Prior to his injury, Williams was one of the most heavily utilized players in all of football. Despite missing four games, Williams has already piled up 31 red zone looks on the season, more than most starting running backs who haven't missed any time.

Williams has scored seven times this season, including against this Arizona team already. The opponent in the Cardinals makes this all the better. Arizona has allowed the second-most touchdowns per game to RBs and has been one of the league's worst run defenses all season. Expect Williams to get going.

Stefon Diggs (+140 Caesars)

Diggs is the clear WR1 in Buffalo and should have space to operate against a Philadelphia defense that has really struggled against wide receivers. No team has allowed more touchdowns or more receptions/game to WRs than the Eagles, so a big Diggs game feels imminent.

Diggs easily tops Buffalo in usage, seeing 110 targets and 14 inside the red zone. He has seven TDs already this season and should be well-positioned to build on that in a big game this Sunday.

Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.

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