Week 10 'MNF': Broncos-Bills props and prediction

Winners of back-to-back games for the first time since September 2022, the Denver Broncos are about to find out if they are ready for primetime.

The Broncos (3-5) celebrated their most recent win over the Kansas City Chiefs during their bye week and come out of the break to face another AFC championship contender at Buffalo on Monday night.

The Bills (5-4) seek redemption from a primetime loss at Cincinnati last Sunday.

QUICK PICK

The Bills are 4-1 at home this season, but their Week 4 win over Miami is also their only victory against a team with a winning record this season. This is the start of a critical three-game stretch ahead of Buffalo's bye week that includes a home game against the Jets and a trip to Philadelphia. The Bills won't overlook the Broncos, who are playing solid defense and relying on the ground game offensively, but Buffalo also won't cover the 7.0-point spread.

Prediction: Buffalo 24, Broncos 20

TRENDING

Buffalo opened as an 8.0-point favorite at BetMGM, but the line has shifted to 7.0 points with the Bills backed by 63 percent of the spread-line bets and 67 percent of the money. The action has been similar at BetRivers, where Buffalo has drawn 91 and 78 percent, respectively.

The Over/Under has also been on the move at BetMGM, rising from 45.5 to 47.5 points. The Under has been backed by 80 percent of the bets and 63 percent of the money.

PROP PICK

Dalton Kincaid Anytime Touchdown (+210 at BetMGM): This has been the most popular player prop at the book for good reason. The rookie has been a revelation with Dawson Knox sidelined. After catching his first touchdown pass in Week 8, Kincaid was targeted 11 times last weekend and came away with 10 receptions for 82 yards. He has quickly emerged as a go-to option in the passing game and will be a big factor again Monday night with Broncos cornerback Patrick Surtain shadowing Bills receiving leader Stephon Diggs.